Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | No | 112.69 | $0.873 | $108.18 | +$9.84 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 112.69 | $0.873 | $98.34 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 125 |
| $0.080 |
| $10 |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?No | buy | 329.42 | $0.046 | $15 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?No | buy | 333.93 | $0.030 | $10 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 87.65 | $0.228 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.963 | $10.13 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31Yes | buy | 87.5 | $0.080 | $7 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.011 | $10 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture EditionNo | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | sell | 90.9 | $0.170 | $15.45 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Another NATO article 4 by October 15?Yes | buy | 76.54 | $0.280 | $21.43 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.014 | $0.07 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 US bank failure by November 30?Yes | buy | 41.65 | $0.336 | $14 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?Yes | buy | 52.73 | $0.260 | $13.71 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison be richest person on September 30?Yes | buy | 587.61 | $0.017 | $10 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 24.22 | $0.826 | $20 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.960 | $7.7 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?No | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Sep 20, 2025 |