Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 150 | $0.843 | $131.25 | +$4.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 99.68 | $0.800 | $79.74 | 9h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 400 |
| $0.240 |
| $118 |
| +$22 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.730 | $85.8 | -$1.8 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 60 | $0.678 | $59.55 | +$18.85 |
 Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | Yes | 100 | $0.300 | $53 | +$23 |
 Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 60 | $0.600 | $45 | +$9 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.840 | $33.8 | +$0.2 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 40 | $0.610 | $33.4 | +$9 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 40 | $0.750 | $30.2 | +$0.2 |
 Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.750 | $28.2 | +$5.7 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.850 | $27.89 | +$2.39 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.810 | $25.8 | +$1.5 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 50 | $0.600 | $24.75 | -$5.25 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.530 | $17.3 | +$6.7 |
 Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Yes | 99.86 | $0.200 | $14.48 | -$5.49 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | $0.710 | $12.43 | -$1.77 |
| Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Yes | 87.69 | $0.060 | $12.28 | +$7.02 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.130 | $11.25 | +$4.75 |
 Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | No | 10 | $0.870 | $9.79 | +$1.09 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 9.99 | $0.730 | $8.69 | +$1.4 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | No | 10 | $0.640 | $8.05 | +$1.65 |
 Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | No | 10 | $0.660 | $7.15 | +$0.55 |
 Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.98 | +$0.23 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $4.77 | +$0.77 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.800 | $4.2 | -$27.8 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.800 |
| $80 |
| 9h ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.051 | $2.56 | 3d ago |
 Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.503 | $50.33 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 30 | $0.770 | $23.1 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 40 | $0.760 | $30.4 | 3d ago |
| Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 15-20%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | sell | 5.29 | $0.660 | $3.49 | 3d ago |
| Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 3d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?SPD | sell | 22.84 | $0.770 | $17.59 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 20 | $0.923 | $18.46 | 3d ago |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.967 | $96.7 | 5d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 6d ago |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.735 | $29.4 | 6d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?Under | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | 6d ago |
| Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 15-20%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 6d ago |
| Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | 6d ago |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | 6d ago |
| Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 6d ago |
| Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 6d ago |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.720 | $21.59 | 6d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?Under | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | 6d ago |
 Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | 6d ago |
| Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 64.56 | $0.111 | $7.17 | 6d ago |
| Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 6d ago |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.610 | $24.4 | 6d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 6d ago |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No | sell | 30 | $0.350 | $10.5 | 6d ago |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?No | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | 6d ago |
| Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 6d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.180 | $28.8 | 7d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.160 | $12.8 | 7d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.710 | $25.56 | 7d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.160 | $12.8 | 7d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | 7d ago |
| Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | 7d ago |
| Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 20 | $0.715 | $14.3 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | sell | 20 | $0.614 | $12.28 | 10d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?Under | buy | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | 12d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.881 | $176.14 | 14d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | 15d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.676 | $24.32 | 15d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | 16d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.989 | $53.41 | 28d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 28d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 40 | $0.610 | $24.4 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.926 | $50 | Jul 11, 2026 |