
Resolved No on 7 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 77.5% on 23 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2026 to 7 Oct 2026, the highest close was 77.5% on 23 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 7 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 51 points down, to 23.5% on 4 Oct 2026. $1.83K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 23 Sep 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 | 77.5% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 863.09 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| coconono | Yes | 11.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Latvian Saeima as a result of the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centrālā vēlēšanu komisija, CVK) (https://www.cvk.lv/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/latvia-parliamentary-election-which-parties-win-seats
| Yes |
| 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 10 |
| Bsau4 | No | 0.69 |
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