Latest trade
Jul 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 19, 5:36 PM UTC.
bfedgy has made $0.89 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 33 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 19, 5:36 PM UTC.
$6.1 median trade
Its latest 51 trades covered 31 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Nov 28, 2025 UTC to Jul 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 13 | $0.962 | $12.1 | -$0.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
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Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 14:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-19 17:36 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
51 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-19 17:36 UTC
polymarket positions
35 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-10 07:47 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $19.7 and losing ones cost $67.33 across 33 settled positions. 45.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.41 on “Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $43.61 on “Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” (Yes).
It first traded on 27 Nov 2025 and most recently on 11 Jul 2026, 100 days ago. It has traded 34 markets. Its open positions are worth $41.83 across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 14 |
| $0.670 |
| $11.97 |
| +$2.59 |
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.930 | $4.79 | +$0.14 |
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.820 | $4.6 | +$0.5 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.521 | $4.24 | +$1.63 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 12 | $0.455 | $1.84 | -$3.62 |
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 9 | $0.170 | $0.81 | -$0.72 |
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12 | $0.080 | $0.59 | -$0.37 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 9 | $0.120 | $0.46 | -$0.62 |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.051 | $0.44 | -$1.1 |
| buy |
| 9 |
| $0.120 |
| $1.08 |
| Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.429 | $2.57 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.170 | $1.53 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.887 | $4.44 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 14 | $0.670 | $9.38 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.890 | $6.23 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.321 | $1.61 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.521 | $2.61 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.480 | $2.88 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.051 | $1.53 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.932 | $4.66 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.080 | $1.04 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.330 | $7.26 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.420 | $4.62 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.880 | $22 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 11.09 | $0.889 | $9.86 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.120 | $6.6 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 88.15 | $0.037 | $3.26 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 13 | $0.962 | $12.51 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | buy | 22 | $0.160 | $3.52 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?No | buy | 15 | $0.997 | $14.96 | Jan 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 65 | $0.963 | $62.6 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.640 | $8.96 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.230 | $3.68 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.120 | $5.04 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 9 | $0.985 | $8.87 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.861 | $5.17 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.670 | $9.38 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.072 | $6.84 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.159 | $6.68 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.076 | $7.22 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.853 | $9.38 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.056 | $5.32 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 14.51 | $0.158 | $2.29 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.330 | $31.35 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?No | buy | 40 | $0.980 | $39.2 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 60.57 | $0.027 | $1.64 | Nov 30, 2025 UTC |
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.51 | $0.270 | $10.4 | Nov 30, 2025 UTC |
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.200 | $8 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| buy | 40 | $0.927 | $37.08 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.