Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:52 PM UTC.
louj75018 is down $21.01 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:52 PM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 60.0% were buys. They run from Sep 12, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | No | 158.52 | $0.528 | $75.3 | -$8.42 |
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | 3d ago |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-10 15:57 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 12:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 12:52 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-10 15:57 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $272.19 and losing ones cost $47.93 across the latest 50 settled positions. 86% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $41.19 on “Iran closes its airspace by May 24?” (No); the largest loss, $13.35 on “US forces enter Iran by April 30?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 529 markets. Its open positions are worth $281.16 across 80 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 27.64 |
| $0.536 |
| $20.59 |
| +$5.77 |
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 22 | $0.912 | $19.9 | -$0.17 |
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | No | 23.02 | $0.705 | $17.84 | +$1.6 |
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | No | 13.16 | $0.380 | $11.78 | +$6.78 |
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 15 | $0.660 | $11.78 | +$1.88 |
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year? | No | 10 | $0.430 | $9.64 | +$5.34 |
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 10 | $0.370 | $8.4 | +$4.7 |
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 9.96 | $0.460 | $8.07 | +$3.49 |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | No | 6.17 | $0.811 | $5.99 | +$0.99 |
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5.81 | +$0.81 |
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.970 | $4.94 | +$0.09 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 5.36 | $0.560 | $4.79 | +$1.79 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.460 | $4.63 | +$2.33 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.540 | $4.58 | +$1.88 |
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 5 | $0.440 | $4.58 | +$2.38 |
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.490 | $4.28 | +$1.83 |
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? | No | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3.83 | +$0.83 |
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | No | 6 | $0.380 | $3.39 | +$1.11 |
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 6.76 | $0.740 | $3.01 | -$1.99 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.450 | $3 | +$0.75 |
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $2.94 | -$2.06 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.301 | $2.86 | -$0.15 |
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? | No | 10.64 | $0.470 | $2.45 | -$2.55 |
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 5 | $0.410 | $2.33 | +$0.28 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.410 |
| $2.05 |
| 4d ago |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.89 | $0.970 | $3.77 | 5d ago |
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 22 | $0.912 | $20.06 | 8d ago |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 8d ago |
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 8d ago |
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.030 | $0.9 | 9d ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No | buy | 7.88 | $0.480 | $3.78 | 11d ago |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.970 | $1.08 | 11d ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.480 | $1.02 | 11d ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 12d ago |
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | 12d ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | 14d ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No | buy | 17.64 | $0.567 | $10 | 14d ago |
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.025 | $0.68 | 14d ago |
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.020 | $0.66 | 14d ago |
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | 14d ago |
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | 14d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.820 | $9.53 | 14d ago |
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 93.84 | $0.942 | $88.44 | 14d ago |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?No | sell | 2.81 | $0.890 | $2.5 | 14d ago |
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.530 | $15.9 | 15d ago |
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | 15d ago |
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | 15d ago |
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | 15d ago |
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 15d ago |
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | 15d ago |
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | 15d ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 15d ago |
Will Luizianne win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 20d ago |
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 20d ago |
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | sell | 1.99 | $0.700 | $1.39 | 20d ago |
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.700 | $1.1 | 20d ago |
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 20d ago |
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | 20d ago |
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 20d ago |
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | 20d ago |
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | 21d ago |
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 4.75 | $0.421 | $2 | 21d ago |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 21d ago |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.310 | $0.06 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.71 | $0.310 | $1.15 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.05 | $0.370 | $0.76 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.94 | $0.370 | $1.46 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.310 | $0.34 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.550 | $1 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.