Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10.45 | +$0.45 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | May 19, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 8.01 |
| $0.998 |
| $7.97 |
| -$0.03 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | No | 8.54 | $0.820 | $6.96 | -$0.04 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3.17 | +$0.17 |
| buy |
| 3.19 |
| $0.940 |
| $3 |
| May 19, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 in May?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.960 | $7 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?No | buy | 13.75 | $0.800 | $11 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.960 | $7 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 19?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?No | buy | 15.4 | $0.974 | $15 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?No | buy | 8.71 | $0.919 | $8 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.999 | $10.42 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.930 | $8 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.971 | $3.99 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.980 | $9.98 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?No | buy | 11.19 | $0.983 | $11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.34 | $0.940 | $21 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 60.48 | $0.990 | $59.88 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.979 | $3.85 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.980 | $6 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.961 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?No | buy | 8.23 | $0.851 | $7 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 60.48 | $0.992 | $60 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.880 | $8 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.988 | $4 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?No | buy | 18.09 | $0.940 | $17 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.985 | $4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.998 | $8 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027No | buy | 8.54 | $0.820 | $7 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | buy | 11.96 | $0.920 | $11 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 20.47 | $0.977 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 19.27 | $0.934 | $18 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | buy | 9.76 | $0.820 | $8 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.998 | $11 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by November 15?No | buy | 36.46 | $0.960 | $35 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or below on November 13?No | buy | 40.08 | $0.998 | $40 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in October?No | buy | 25.34 | $0.947 | $24 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 48.91 | $0.920 | $45 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will R win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?Yes | buy | 8.17 | $0.979 | $8 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Harvard international students ban ended before August?No | buy | 11.33 | $0.971 | $11 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Trump announces removal of Harvard tax exempt status before July?No | buy | 11.04 | $0.996 | $11 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?No | buy | 4.48 | $0.960 | $4.3 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 US defaults on debt in 2025?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.960 | $4 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.999 | $1.03K | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 10.01K | $0.998 | $9.98K | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 2.88K | $0.998 | $2.88K | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 8.63K | $0.998 | $8.62K | Apr 7, 2025 |