Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 25% on 30 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 30 May 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 28.5% on 31 May 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 27 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 14.5% on 1 Jun 2025. $36.71K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 30 May 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 May 2025 | 25.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 488 |
| novusprospectus | Yes | 33.33 |
| tixon | Yes | 14.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration publicly announces that it has taken formal steps to revoke or remove Harvard University's federal tax-exempt status by June 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any official action or filing by the Internal Revenue Service or another relevant federal agency, or a White House announcement indicating that such a revocation is being enacted. A general threat or statement of intent—such as a social media post or press comment—without a formal administrative or legal action being initiated will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-removal-of-harvard-tax-exempt-status-before-july
| Yes |
| 12.5 |
| AION5101 | Yes | 10 |
| KelvinWhite | Yes | 6.25 |
| GaySanta | No | 0.02 |
| trump.imp | No | 0.02 |
| SYSY.CN | No | 0.01 |
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