Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$61.0K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 19 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 14% on 21 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2026 to 19 Jun 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 14% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Jun 2026. $61K traded over the market's life.

68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 9:48 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 21 Mar 2026 – 19 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Mar 2026	14.0%
19 Jun 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	15.88K
duref	Yes	7.75K
sec9329	Yes	4.03K

10 of 68 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.