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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 148.87 | $0.907 | $148.8 | +$13.8 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 72.92 | $0.960 | $70 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 148.55 |
| $0.831 |
| $148.47 |
| +$25.07 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 113.9 | $0.966 | $111.05 | +$1.05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 108.93 | $0.941 | $108.55 | +$6.1 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 110 | $0.878 | $106.43 | +$9.83 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 107.82 | $0.835 | $105.93 | +$15.93 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 111.11 | $0.900 | $101.67 | +$1.67 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 104.82 | $0.954 | $101.31 | +$1.31 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 90 | $0.961 | $88.47 | +$1.98 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 90 | $0.950 | $88.07 | +$2.57 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 80 | $0.950 | $79.48 | +$3.48 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 80 | $0.950 | $79.48 | +$3.48 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 82.35 | $0.850 | $77 | +$7 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 73.38 | $0.954 | $72.46 | +$2.46 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 74.47 | $0.940 | $71.6 | +$1.6 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 70 | $0.950 | $66.57 | +$0.07 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 70 | $0.940 | $65.8 | $0 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 67.42 | $0.890 | $64.38 | +$4.38 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 72.92 | $0.960 | $63.07 | -$6.93 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 62.5 | $0.960 | $61.97 | +$1.97 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | No | 62.5 | $0.960 | $60.78 | +$0.78 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 65.22 | $0.920 | $60.65 | +$0.65 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 60 | $0.951 | $59.61 | +$2.55 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September? | No | 62.81 | $0.955 | $57.79 | -$2.21 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 60 | $0.900 | $56.7 | +$2.7 |
| buy |
| 65.93 |
| $0.910 |
| $60 |
| 2d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?No | buy | 52.25 | $0.957 | $50 | 2d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 113.9 | $0.966 | $110 | 2d ago |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September?No | buy | 62.81 | $0.955 | $60 | 2d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 65.22 | $0.920 | $60 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 41.3 | $0.920 | $38 | 18d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 52.3 | $0.956 | $50 | 18d ago |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026?No | sell | 91.62 | $0.962 | $88.13 | 18d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 33.66 | $0.964 | $32.45 | 22d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.860 | $40 | 26d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 75.27 | $0.930 | $70 | 26d ago |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 121.1 | $0.961 | $116.38 | 26d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 92.4 | $0.450 | $41.58 | 26d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | buy | 84.01 | $0.988 | $83 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 52.48 | $0.953 | $50 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 81.17 | $0.986 | $80 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 73.38 | $0.954 | $70 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?No | buy | 71.55 | $0.978 | $70 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?No | buy | 52.22 | $0.957 | $50 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.800 | $30 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 88.63 | $0.959 | $85 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 69.77 | $0.860 | $60 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | buy | 77.8 | $0.964 | $75 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 105.55 | $0.910 | $96.05 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 44.99 | $0.999 | $44.95 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 37.26 | $0.388 | $14.46 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.41 | $0.586 | $19 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 46.51 | $0.410 | $19.07 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.27 | $0.326 | $4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 51.12 | $0.978 | $50 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 41.11 | $0.973 | $40 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 48.78 | $0.820 | $40 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026?No | buy | 51.63 | $0.969 | $50 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 104.82 | $0.954 | $100 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 74.47 | $0.940 | $70 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 67.42 | $0.890 | $60 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.960 | $60 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.960 | $60 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 71.14 | $0.984 | $70 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 82.35 | $0.850 | $70 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.950 | $76 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 9 | $0.950 | $8.55 | Jul 7, 2026 |