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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 6.82 | $0.996 | $6.79 | Jan 20, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 6.82 |
| $0.997 |
| $6.8 |
| Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.987 | $1.19 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.988 | $1.2 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 3.1 | $0.973 | $3.02 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.976 | $3 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.670 | $0.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?100k | buy | 0.02 | $0.550 | $0.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.260 | $0.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.660 | $0.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.470 | $0.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 OpenSea token announcement in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.696 | $0.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.550 | $0.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.989 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.380 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.991 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.540 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.880 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.850 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.380 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.260 | $0.01 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy market cap dip to $50b in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.190 | $0.01 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.71 | $0.014 | $0.01 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.190 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.130 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.190 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.190 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will $cult launch in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.690 | $0.01 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Sonic launch before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.890 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.700 | $0.01 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.630 | $0.01 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.988 | $0.02 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.910 | $0.03 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.992 | $0.02 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.590 | $0.01 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.590 | $0.01 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will $cult launch in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.736 | $0.02 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.910 | $0.04 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Solana above $200 on November 15?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.960 | $0.02 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.650 | $0.02 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.760 | $0.03 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.07 | $0.450 | $0.03 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.750 | $0.02 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.630 | $0.03 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 495.27 | $0.991 | $490.81 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 495.27 | $0.992 | $491.31 | Oct 19, 2024 |