Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 61.5% on 19 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 63.5% on 25 Nov 2024 and the low 0.3% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 49.5% on 21 Nov 2024. $179.33K traded over the market's life.
88 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 1:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 19 Nov 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2024 | 61.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zhangdr | Yes | 280.17 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 187.7 |
| BananaMonke | No | 138.89 |
| VoxPopuliVoxDei | Yes | 32.26 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) will be, has been, or is in the process of acquiring or launching a cryptocurrency exchange by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement by TMTG will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition or launch is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from TMTG. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-media-launch-a-crypto-exchange-in-2024
New to prediction markets?
| Garded | Yes | 19.04 |
| Valentulous | Yes | 6.79 |
| cooperalds | Yes | 1.79 |
| Jiang13 | Yes | 1.67 |
| TylerAndre | Yes | 1.47 |
| Cosmicbets | Yes | 1 |