Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 62% on 18 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2024 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 62% on 18 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 35.5% on 20 Dec 2024. $659.91K traded over the market's life.
90 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 11:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 18 Dec 2024 – 21 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2024 | 62.0% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BTCGuy | Yes | 19.18K |
| Kingdonaldddd | Yes | 6.02K |
| KimbalMusk | Yes | 5.03K |
| Dima007 | Yes | 2.39K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total crypto market cap is $4 trillion or greater on January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically when the "7d" option is selected on the "Total Crypto Market Cap Chart" found here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/global-charts. The information for January 20, 2025 will be used once data is finalized for that day.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/total-crypto-market-cap-4-trillion-on-jan-20
| blingbling | Yes | 1.29K |
| gigapulsechain | Yes | 1K |
| THard | Yes | 675.3 |
| Bugzon | Yes | 672.24 |
| DongJohnson | Yes | 667.29 |
| trautifrutti | Yes | 505.05 |
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