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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.069 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 42.86 |
| $0.070 |
| $3 |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 54.05 | $0.740 | $40 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 84.75 | $0.059 | $5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 186.15 | $0.016 | $3 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?No | buy | 16.5 | $0.606 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionYes | buy | 31.17 | $0.642 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in 2025?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?No | sell | 17.85 | $0.820 | $14.64 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?Down | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?No | buy | 24.14 | $0.828 | $20 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?No | sell | 38.46 | $0.510 | $19.61 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?No | sell | 53.34 | $0.900 | $48.01 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?Yes | buy | 20.78 | $0.481 | $10 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before April?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.942 | $20.47 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon?No | buy | 200.6 | $0.050 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?No | sell | 959.51 | $0.001 | $0.96 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?No | buy | 959.51 | $0.012 | $11.51 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?No | buy | 34.28 | $0.580 | $19.88 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?No | buy | 53.34 | $0.375 | $20 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before April?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.23 | $0.578 | $25 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon?No | buy | 39.06 | $0.640 | $25 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 35.21 | $0.710 | $25 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 39.06 | $0.640 | $25 | Jan 8, 2025 |