Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 15 Nov 2025, the highest close was 56% on 23 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 15 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 56% on 23 Oct 2025. $97.61K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 15 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 37.5% |
| 15 Nov 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AllByMyseIf | Yes | 24.98K |
| belldav | Yes | 615 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Sora iOS app is the #1 app in the United States iPhone Apple App Store for the overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", on October 3, 2025, 12 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". In the "Top Charts" section under "Free Apps", you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). The Sora app can be found here: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/sora-by-openai/id6744034028
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sora-be-the-1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on
| Yes |
| 389.06 |
| Eshb | Yes | 332.4 |
| stalker | Yes | 300 |
| Far-Writer | Yes | 206.19 |
| Vague-Sightseeing | Yes | 110 |
| babushka29 | Yes | 106.38 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 100 |
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