Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:23 PM UTC.
Analytics
VARGANT is down $319.36 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:23 PM UTC.
$4.9 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 62.0% were buys. They run from Sep 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 696.4 | $0.160 | $45.27 | -$66.16 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$0.05 | $0.05 | 15 | 1 | 100.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | 1d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-15 21:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
25 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 19:23 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 19:23 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-15 21:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.03K and losing ones cost $1.36K across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $125.67 on “Spurs vs. Timberwolves” (Spurs); the largest loss, $207.95 on “Pistons vs. Cavaliers” (Cavaliers).
It first traded on 8 May 2025 and most recently on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 848 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($0.05). Its open positions are worth $225.51 across 25 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 24 |
| $0.826 |
| $19.32 |
| -$0.5 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.670 | $18.98 | +$5.58 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 17 | $0.690 | $16.07 | +$4.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.710 | $12.7 | -$1.5 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | Yes | 20 | $0.550 | $12.6 | +$1.6 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 17 | $0.640 | $11.14 | +$0.26 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | Yes | 15 | $0.680 | $10.65 | +$0.45 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 9.99 | $0.830 | $9.25 | +$0.95 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 14 | $0.630 | $9.17 | +$0.35 |
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Yes | 10 | $0.760 | $8.15 | +$0.55 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.730 | $7.45 | +$0.15 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? | No | 6.5 | $0.967 | $6.31 | +$0.03 |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | No | 8.67 | $0.665 | $6.02 | +$0.26 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 6 | $0.880 | $5.61 | +$0.33 |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? | No | 10 | $0.560 | $5.4 | -$0.2 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.944 | $4.89 | +$0.17 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? | No | 5 | $0.965 | $4.74 | -$0.08 |
 Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 26.21 | $0.060 | $4.19 | +$2.62 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 15 | $0.640 | $3.38 | -$6.23 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | Yes | 10 | $0.150 | $1.25 | -$0.25 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1.35 | $0.739 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03? | Yes | 10 | $0.070 | $0.85 | +$0.15 |
 Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.29 | $0.630 | $0.77 | -$5.71 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
| buy |
| 7 |
| $0.680 |
| $4.76 |
| 2d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | 2d ago |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.560 | $4.27 | 2d ago |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.560 | $1.33 | 3d ago |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
 LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTeam Secret Whales | buy | 20.08 | $0.420 | $8.43 | 4d ago |
 OKX IPO in 2026?Yes | sell | 159.21 | $0.040 | $6.37 | 4d ago |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | sell | 12 | $0.840 | $10.08 | 4d ago |
 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.844 | $8.44 | 4d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.739 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | 4d ago |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 5d ago |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5Over | buy | 6 | $0.640 | $3.84 | 5d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 14 | $0.630 | $8.82 | 5d ago |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.73 | $0.350 | $2.01 | 6d ago |
| Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.05 | $0.350 | $1.07 | 6d ago |
 Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 7d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.640 | $10.88 | 10d ago |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | 10d ago |
| Will AEK win on 2026-10-14?No | buy | 7 | $0.700 | $4.9 | 10d ago |
| Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | 10d ago |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.945 | $9.45 | 13d ago |
| Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 15d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 8 | $0.620 | $4.96 | 15d ago |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 7.99 | $0.967 | $7.73 | 18d ago |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 2.01 | $0.967 | $1.94 | 18d ago |
 Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 10.6 | $0.830 | $8.8 | 18d ago |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes | sell | 49.26 | $0.100 | $4.91 | 18d ago |
 Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.240 | $3.6 | 19d ago |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | 19d ago |
 Ukraine vs. Hungary: Ukraine O/U 0.5Over | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | 19d ago |
| Ukraine vs. Hungary: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 22.72 | $0.670 | $15.22 | 20d ago |
| Ukraine vs. Hungary: Ukraine O/U 0.5Over | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 20d ago |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 10.31 | $0.230 | $2.37 | 20d ago |
 Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.570 | $22.8 | 20d ago |
| Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 20d ago |
| Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | 20d ago |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.230 | $0.39 | 20d ago |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.170 | $2.04 | 20d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | buy | 6 | $0.703 | $4.22 | 21d ago |
 Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 184.7 | $0.070 | $12.93 | 25d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | 25d ago |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 26d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 8 | $0.610 | $4.88 | 28d ago |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.830 | $11.62 | Sep 25, 2026 UTC |
 Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies | buy | 6.5 | $0.620 | $4.03 | Sep 25, 2026 UTC |
 Eagles vs. BearsEagles | buy | 6.49 | $0.680 | $4.41 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.