Analytics
VARGANT is down $319.36 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 696.4 | $0.160 | $48.75 | -$62.68 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 23:45 UTC
Polymarket public position response
25 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 02:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 02:03 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-15 21:22 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.03K and losing ones cost $1.36K across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $125.67 on “Spurs vs. Timberwolves” (Spurs); the largest loss, $207.95 on “Pistons vs. Cavaliers” (Cavaliers).
It has traded 848 markets. Its open positions are worth $222.46 across 25 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 24 |
| $0.826 |
| $19.32 |
| -$0.5 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.670 | $18.79 | +$5.39 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 17 | $0.690 | $16.07 | +$4.34 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | Yes | 20 | $0.550 | $12.6 | +$1.6 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.710 | $11.9 | -$2.3 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 17 | $0.640 | $10.97 | +$0.09 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | Yes | 15 | $0.680 | $9.45 | -$0.75 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 14 | $0.630 | $9.17 | +$0.35 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 9.99 | $0.830 | $9.1 | +$0.8 |
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Yes | 10 | $0.760 | $8.15 | +$0.55 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.730 | $7.2 | -$0.1 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? | No | 6.5 | $0.967 | $6.33 | +$0.05 |
 Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | No | 8.67 | $0.665 | $5.59 | -$0.17 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 6 | $0.880 | $5.58 | +$0.3 |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? | No | 10 | $0.560 | $5.25 | -$0.35 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.944 | $4.88 | +$0.16 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? | No | 5 | $0.965 | $4.75 | -$0.08 |
 Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 26.21 | $0.060 | $4.32 | +$2.75 |
 Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | Yes | 10 | $0.150 | $1.2 | -$0.3 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1.35 | $0.739 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03? | Yes | 10 | $0.070 | $0.85 | +$0.15 |
 Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.29 | $0.630 | $0.72 | -$5.76 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 70 | $0.015 | $0.18 | -$0.88 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
