Analytics
Yes is at 15.5%, down 34 points from 49% when the market opened on 8 Jul 2026.
Across the 108 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 64.5% on 10 Jul 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 16 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 17%; a month before, 24%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 37.5% on 11 Jul 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$22.04K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $519.8, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 275 trades, $2.19K bought Yes and $7.27K bought No.
The largest Yes position is HugeLoss with 6.4K shares; the largest No position is Odd-Relish with 2.6K. Ten wallets hold 89.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 108 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HugeLoss | Yes | 6.36K |
| Odd-Relish | No | 2.62K |
| thanksBTC | No | 1.23K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pacifica-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| gydmasg |
| No |
| 961.32 |
| yulinjin | No | 922.2 |
| berichrich | Yes | 810 |
| Beyonddream | No | 700 |
| vinii | No | 639.74 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 336.52 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 284.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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