Analytics
Yes is at 4.1%, down 42 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 7 Jan 2026.
Across the 267 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.5% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 3.9% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%; a month before, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 24.5% on 11 Mar 2026.
$618.26K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $31.66K, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.26K bought Yes and $42.34K bought No; the largest was a $12.24K buy of No at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is 0xwind with 38.4K shares; the largest No position is kosaks with 12.9K. Ten wallets hold 59.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 267 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 46.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OKX completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by OKX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OKX merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if OKX completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/okx-ipo-in-2026
| Parallel-Stove |
| No |
| 5.31K |
| Bitatlas | Yes | 5.27K |
| labal | No | 4.69K |
| 0xknon | Yes | 4.3K |
| hsingx | Yes | 3.84K |
| fwed33 | No | 3.09K |
| BigMag666 | No | 2.92K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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