Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.39 | $0.820 | $1.34 | +$0.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.070 | $0.24 | Apr 10, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $1.22 |
| +$0.22 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.320 | $0.78 | -$1.22 |
| buy |
| 1.39 |
| $0.820 |
| $1.14 |
| Apr 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.614 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.75 | $0.340 | $0.93 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.01 | $0.230 | $0.92 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.328 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsT1 | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsT1 | sell | 1.23 | $0.380 | $0.47 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsT1 | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "God" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 5.64 | $0.760 | $4.29 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.774 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.692 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Democracy" 2+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" 4+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "God" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $250 in September?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 DeepSeek banned in US before July?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.870 | $1.5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Macron out in 2025?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |