Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.33 |
| $0.430 |
| $1 |
| Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.976 | $1.35 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.915 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Another NATO article 4 by October 15?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Trudeau out before April?No | buy | 1 | $0.260 | $0.26 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 2 | $0.250 | $0.5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will the Greens win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 1 | $0.862 | $0.86 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.039 | $0.04 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?No | sell | 1 | $0.986 | $0.99 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.001 | $0 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Miami?No | sell | 0.56 | $0.001 | $0 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump flips a 2020 Biden state?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.001 | $0 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Who will win white women?Harris | sell | 1.72 | $0.011 | $0.02 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 OpenSea blocks US users in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.71 | $0.028 | $0.02 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.130 | $0.25 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.056 | $0.15 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Hunter Biden sentenced to 1-5 months in gun case?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.081 | $0.25 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign in November?Yes | buy | 0.74 | $0.027 | $0.02 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Miami?No | buy | 0.57 | $0.440 | $0.25 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?No | buy | 0.97 | $0.620 | $0.6 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Who will win white women?Harris | buy | 0.78 | $0.450 | $0.35 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris blowout victory?Yes | buy | 2.69 | $0.130 | $0.35 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump win 1 swing state?Yes | buy | 1.88 | $0.080 | $0.15 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.039 | $0.2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.393 | $0.4 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.050 | $0.35 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.190 | $0.19 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Who will 538 predict to win the election?Harris | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?Harris | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Who will 538 predict to win the election?Harris | buy | 1 | $0.120 | $0.12 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?Harris | buy | 1 | $0.260 | $0.26 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Who will win late deciders?Harris | buy | 0.86 | $0.580 | $0.5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump get more votes than 2020?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.170 | $0.5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Kamala get more votes than Biden?Yes | buy | 0.9 | $0.500 | $0.45 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Trump flips a 2020 Biden state?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.230 | $0.5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Who will win white women?Harris | buy | 0.94 | $0.530 | $0.5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | sell | 3 | $0.172 | $0.52 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?No | buy | 1 | $0.350 | $0.35 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.97 | $0.823 | $0.8 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?No | buy | 1 | $0.340 | $0.34 | Oct 31, 2024 |