Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 30 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 125 daily closes on record from 30 Aug 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 24.5% on 30 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 3.5% on 3 Sep 2024. $35.37K traded over the market's life.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 2:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 30 Aug 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2024 | 24.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tmccormick | Yes | 324.44 |
| jessicacosta | Yes | 277.78 |
| jenniferherrera | Yes | 273 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenSea (https://opensea.io/) geoblocks users from the United States of America from trading NFTs between August 28 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If USA users are still allowed to sell or close out already-held NFTs, it will still count as a block, so long as they are blocked from purchasing new ones. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenSea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opensea-blocks-us-users-in-2024
| Yes |
| 212 |
| carloscastro | Yes | 206 |
| rodriguezalexis | Yes | 201.11 |
| moorejoshua | Yes | 186.67 |
| aliciarivera | Yes | 144.44 |
| middletonelizabeth | Yes | 143.8 |
| nmitchell | Yes | 143 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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