Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 20% on 11 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 89 daily closes on record from 11 Aug 2024 to 7 Nov 2024, the highest close was 26.5% on 20 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 0.1% on 7 Nov 2024. $2.32M traded over the market's life.
340 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 8, 12:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 11 Aug 2024 – 7 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2024 | 20.0% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cheapcabbage | Yes | 99.69K |
| Matuszeg | Yes | 38.05K |
| DustinGrageMN | Yes | 31.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 100 or more electoral votes versus her closest competitor. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes, faithless electors shall have no effect on the outcome. This market's resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kamala-harris-blowout-victory
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 25.57K |
| kungfutofu1 | Yes | 19.54K |
| willyduer | Yes | 13.68K |
| Yazfree2 | Yes | 10.17K |
| Anon327 | Yes | 10K |
| NicholasMike | Yes | 7.77K |
| FiscalDXB | Yes | 6.27K |
