Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 10.42 | $0.192 | $1.61 | -$0.39 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.080 | $0.53 | 20d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.82 |
| $0.550 |
| $1.43 |
| +$0.43 |
 Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9.44 | $0.106 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.045 | $0.51 | -$0.49 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 19.83 | $0.101 | $0.34 | -$1.66 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 10.99 | $0.091 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.290 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
 Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
| sell |
| 3.78 |
| $0.150 |
| $0.57 |
| 20d ago |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.229 | $0.59 | 20d ago |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.034 | $0.97 | 20d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.920 | $1.08 | 20d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.963 | $1.16 | 20d ago |
 Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.154 | $5.13 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |