Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:52 PM UTC.
Analytics
hp210210 is down $617.44 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:52 PM UTC.
$14.75 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 589.17 | $0.677 | $341.72 | -$57.42 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?No | buy | 23 | $0.410 | $9.43 | 44m ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 19:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 23:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 23:52 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 19:11 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.75K and losing ones cost $1.14K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $339.73 on “US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $184.83 on “US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 557 markets. Its open positions are worth $7.02K across 240 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.47K |
| $0.190 |
| $286.65 |
| +$7.35 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 294 | $0.870 | $286.5 | +$30.72 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 246.01 | $0.907 | $229.28 | +$6.15 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | Yes | 218 | $0.922 | $198.38 | -$2.63 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? | No | 265 | $0.800 | $170.93 | -$41.08 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 177.04 | $0.946 | $165.98 | -$1.5 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | No | 176 | $0.410 | $164.56 | +$92.4 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 870 | $0.133 | $154.86 | +$39.15 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? | No | 188.89 | $0.808 | $149.6 | -$3.11 |
 SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31? | No | 152.81 | $0.859 | $144.41 | +$13.09 |
 Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | No | 188 | $0.747 | $140.53 | +$0.02 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 185.86 | $0.730 | $139.4 | +$3.72 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | No | 169.97 | $0.622 | $133.43 | +$27.63 |
 Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | No | 144 | $0.901 | $131.76 | +$1.94 |
 Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | Yes | 214.18 | $0.610 | $129.58 | -$1.08 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? | No | 136 | $0.897 | $126.48 | +$4.46 |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027? | Yes | 146 | $0.670 | $126.29 | +$28.47 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 782.62 | $0.289 | $113.48 | -$112.98 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | No | 124 | $0.762 | $109.24 | +$14.76 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? | No | 107.33 | $0.966 | $102.45 | -$1.23 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 100 | $0.779 | $98.95 | +$21.05 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 103.63 | $0.850 | $93.47 | +$5.39 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 220 | $0.280 | $91.3 | +$29.7 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 93 | $0.851 | $89.79 | +$10.61 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes| sell |
| 66.13 |
| $0.170 |
| $11.24 |
| 44m ago |
| Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.883 | $35.32 | 1h ago |
| Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.860 | $6.02 | 1h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.9% before 2027?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.760 | $10.64 | 1h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.900 | $65.7 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No | buy | 33 | $0.160 | $5.28 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?No | sell | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No | buy | 52.83 | $0.240 | $12.68 | 1h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | 1h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.910 | $2.73 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.900 | $16.2 | 2h ago |
 Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.950 | $13.3 | 4h ago |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 155 | $0.960 | $148.8 | 4h ago |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.960 | $7.68 | 4h ago |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?No | sell | 101 | $0.950 | $95.95 | 4h ago |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.960 | $3.84 | 4h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.930 | $42.78 | 9h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.930 | $66.03 | 9h ago |
 Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?No | sell | 7 | $0.890 | $6.23 | 10h ago |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.200 | $2.6 | 10h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.370 | $33.67 | 10h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 436 | $0.180 | $78.48 | 10h ago |
| Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.256 | $3.84 | 15h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.940 | $50.76 | 16h ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?No | buy | 23 | $0.770 | $17.71 | 16h ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.919 | $18.38 | 17h ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?No | buy | 69 | $0.800 | $55.2 | 19h ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.610 | $64.66 | 21h ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.490 | $6.37 | 1d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?No | buy | 112.03 | $0.500 | $56.02 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.74 | $0.930 | $21.15 | 1d ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes | buy | 108 | $0.610 | $65.88 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 40.26 | $0.930 | $37.44 | 1d ago |
 Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.450 | $31.05 | 1d ago |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.920 | $55.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.370 | $2.98 | 1d ago |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.290 | $17.4 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No | buy | 23.79 | $0.180 | $4.28 | 1d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.670 | $23.45 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 2d ago |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 145 | $0.066 | $9.57 | 2d ago |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 29.14 | $0.820 | $23.89 | 2d ago |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 27.4 | $0.080 | $2.19 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 2d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No | sell | 136 | $0.760 | $103.36 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.560 | $10.08 | 2d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?No | buy | 7.97 | $0.500 | $3.99 | 2d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.220 | $5.5 | 2d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.