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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? | No | 762 | $0.964 | $654.56 | -$80.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 161 | $0.140 | $22.54 | 1h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 578.92 |
| $0.728 |
| $437.09 |
| +$15.36 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 483 | $0.790 | $350.17 | -$31.35 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 480.1 | $0.470 | $319.27 | +$93.62 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 359.94 | $0.860 | $307.75 | -$1.67 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 218.14 | $0.871 | $201.78 | +$11.84 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | Yes | 284.77 | $0.739 | $192.22 | -$18.32 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 519.29 | $0.337 | $179.16 | +$4.15 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 215 | $0.730 | $177.38 | +$20.43 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 181.63 | $0.850 | $158.92 | +$4.54 |
 Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | No | 141 | $0.703 | $135.29 | +$36.12 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | No | 152 | $0.855 | $131.48 | +$1.46 |
 SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31? | No | 152 | $0.860 | $129.2 | -$1.52 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | No | 158 | $0.618 | $125.61 | +$27.97 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | No | 201 | $0.546 | $112.56 | +$2.81 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 110.01 | $0.791 | $95.16 | +$8.15 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | No | 176 | $0.410 | $93.28 | +$21.12 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 233.99 | $0.410 | $88.92 | -$7.02 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 558.99 | $0.197 | $86.64 | -$23.41 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 117 | $0.460 | $82.49 | +$28.67 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 84.5 | $0.927 | $80.53 | +$2.22 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 474 | $0.346 | $63.99 | -$100 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | Yes | 155 | $0.354 | $63.55 | +$8.66 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 71 | $0.439 | $56.59 | +$25.41 |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | No | 127 | $0.419 | $55.25 | +$2.01 |
| sell |
| 63 |
| $0.140 |
| $8.82 |
| 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 11 | $0.140 | $1.54 | 2h ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.089 | $3.56 | 4h ago |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 4h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?No | buy | 60 | $0.540 | $32.4 | 7h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?No | sell | 24 | $0.520 | $12.48 | 10h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?No | sell | 157 | $0.740 | $116.18 | 10h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?No | sell | 8 | $0.510 | $4.08 | 11h ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.78 | $0.100 | $1.58 | 16h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?No | sell | 3 | $0.510 | $1.53 | 16h ago |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.270 | $2.16 | 16h ago |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.570 | $33.06 | 16h ago |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?No | sell | 89 | $0.900 | $80.1 | 16h ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No | buy | 91 | $0.860 | $78.26 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 225 | $0.340 | $76.5 | 16h ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.900 | $1.8 | 16h ago |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.820 | $1.64 | 22h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 37 | $0.360 | $13.32 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | 22h ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 190 | $0.220 | $41.8 | 22h ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No | buy | 32 | $0.840 | $26.88 | 3d ago |
 Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.14 | $0.012 | $0.13 | 3d ago |
| Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 58.39 | $0.002 | $0.12 | 3d ago |
| Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.28 | $0.006 | $0.04 | 3d ago |
| Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 508.23 | $0.001 | $0.51 | 3d ago |
| Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 272.78 | $0.001 | $0.27 | 3d ago |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.009 | $0.25 | 3d ago |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.010 | $1.2 | 3d ago |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.084 | $0.84 | 3d ago |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.58 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.017 | $0.09 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | 3d ago |
 Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.970 | $1.94 | 3d ago |
 Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.24 | $0.058 | $0.71 | 3d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?Yes | buy | 38.22 | $0.019 | $0.73 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.950 | $1.9 | 3d ago |
| Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.820 | $1.64 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.070 | $1.26 | 3d ago |
| Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.860 | $1.72 | 3d ago |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.900 | $1.8 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.830 | $1.66 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.840 | $1.68 | 3d ago |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.029 | $1.16 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.002 | $0.09 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.036 | $0.18 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.950 | $1.9 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.072 | $1.08 | 3d ago |