Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:48 PM UTC.
Analytics
hp210210 is down $747.34 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:48 PM UTC.
$12.57 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 589.17 | $0.677 | $338.77 | -$60.37 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.256 | $3.84 | 4h ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 00:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 12:48 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 12:48 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 00:16 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.65K and losing ones cost $1.14K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $339.73 on “US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $184.83 on “US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 556 markets. Its open positions are worth $7.18K across 242 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 294 |
| $0.870 |
| $288.12 |
| +$32.34 |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | Yes | 1.47K | $0.190 | $286.65 | +$7.35 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 246.01 | $0.907 | $231.25 | +$8.12 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 177.04 | $0.946 | $167.75 | +$0.27 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | No | 176 | $0.410 | $164.56 | +$92.4 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? | No | 265 | $0.800 | $157.68 | -$54.33 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? | No | 188.89 | $0.808 | $150.73 | -$1.98 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | Yes | 155 | $0.354 | $144.93 | +$90.04 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 870 | $0.133 | $141.38 | +$25.67 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 185.86 | $0.730 | $140.32 | +$4.65 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | No | 169.97 | $0.622 | $132.58 | +$26.78 |
 SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31? | No | 152.81 | $0.859 | $132.18 | +$0.87 |
 Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | No | 144 | $0.901 | $130.32 | +$0.5 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? | No | 136 | $0.897 | $126.48 | +$4.46 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 782.62 | $0.289 | $125.22 | -$101.24 |
 Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | Yes | 214.18 | $0.610 | $123.16 | -$7.5 |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | No | 127 | $0.419 | $120.65 | +$67.41 |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027? | Yes | 146 | $0.670 | $108.77 | +$10.95 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | No | 124 | $0.762 | $107.76 | +$13.27 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 581.51 | $0.263 | $107.58 | -$45.34 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? | No | 107.33 | $0.966 | $102.88 | -$0.8 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 100 | $0.779 | $99.7 | +$21.8 |
 Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | No | 141 | $0.703 | $98.77 | -$0.4 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 103.63 | $0.850 | $93.52 | +$5.44 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Yes| buy |
| 54 |
| $0.940 |
| $50.76 |
| 5h ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?No | buy | 23 | $0.770 | $17.71 | 5h ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.919 | $18.38 | 6h ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?No | buy | 69 | $0.800 | $55.2 | 8h ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.610 | $64.66 | 10h ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.490 | $6.37 | 13h ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?No | buy | 112.03 | $0.500 | $56.02 | 13h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.74 | $0.930 | $21.15 | 14h ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes | buy | 108 | $0.610 | $65.88 | 14h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 40.26 | $0.930 | $37.44 | 15h ago |
 Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.450 | $31.05 | 16h ago |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.920 | $55.2 | 21h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.370 | $2.98 | 22h ago |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.290 | $17.4 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No | buy | 23.79 | $0.180 | $4.28 | 1d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.670 | $23.45 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 1d ago |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 145 | $0.066 | $9.57 | 1d ago |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 29.14 | $0.820 | $23.89 | 1d ago |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 27.4 | $0.080 | $2.19 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 1d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No | sell | 136 | $0.760 | $103.36 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.560 | $10.08 | 1d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?No | buy | 7.97 | $0.500 | $3.99 | 1d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.220 | $5.5 | 1d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.924 | $4.62 | 2d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?Yes | buy | 0.36 | $0.220 | $0.08 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.160 | $3.68 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?Yes | buy | 0.68 | $0.220 | $0.15 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.670 | $91.12 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?No | buy | 0.8 | $0.900 | $0.72 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?No | buy | 97.2 | $0.900 | $87.48 | 2d ago |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.160 | $3.68 | 2d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.94 | $0.160 | $1.43 | 2d ago |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 508 | $0.260 | $132.08 | 2d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.43 | $0.370 | $4.23 | 2d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No | sell | 293 | $0.740 | $216.82 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.570 | $4.56 | 2d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?No | buy | 75 | $0.908 | $68.1 | 2d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.190 | $16.34 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?Yes | buy | 47.32 | $0.220 | $10.41 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.860 | $20.64 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% in October?No | buy | 12 | $0.710 | $8.52 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% in October?No | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.690 | $11.73 | 2d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.58 | $0.250 | $2.4 | 2d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.