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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | sell | 43.14 | $0.691 | $29.81 | Sep 20, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.230 |
| $2.3 |
| Sep 6, 2025 |
Congress extends Trump's DC takeover?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.360 | $16.2 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on July 25?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.470 | $12.22 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.05 | $0.770 | $6.2 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.620 | $3.5 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Astronomer Divorce ParlayYes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 25.61 | $0.570 | $14.6 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.520 | $11.81 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 147.59 | $0.350 | $51.66 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.910 | $5.41 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?No | buy | 18.97 | $0.580 | $11 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will anyone say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.410 | $50 | Jul 8, 2025 |
1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 43.15 | $0.116 | $5 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.090 | $1.29 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 6.47 | $0.253 | $1.64 | May 2, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.790 | $6.08 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 5.45 | $0.670 | $3.65 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | May 2, 2025 |
Ukraine election called in 2025?No | sell | 3.77 | $0.590 | $2.22 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.550 | $0.95 | May 2, 2025 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.110 | $0.92 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.573 | $0.96 | May 2, 2025 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.180 | $0.95 | May 2, 2025 |
Joe Biden book deal in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.670 | $0.95 | May 2, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.790 | $1.09 | May 2, 2025 |
Trump trade deal in April?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | May 2, 2025 |
Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.190 | $1.19 | May 2, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MayNo | sell | 4.54 | $0.260 | $1.18 | May 2, 2025 |
India military action against Pakistan before June?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.510 | $1.24 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.540 | $0.93 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.734 | $0.92 | May 2, 2025 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.410 | $0.89 | May 2, 2025 |
Will the next Pope be from Asia?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.181 | $0.82 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.290 | $0.85 | May 2, 2025 |