Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 27 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 69.5% on 6 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 54% on 3 Jul 2025. $190.39K traded over the market's life.
109 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 Jun 2025 – 1 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2025 | 43.5% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been 1,350 or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2025 according to the CDC case counter by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1350-measles-cases-in-us-before-august
| theblockchainguy | No | 1.25K |
| Indelible-Ephemeris | Yes | 500.54 |
| GoBirds6 | Yes | 500 |
| Alexandru7 | Yes | 424.5 |
| Unruly-Compensation | Yes | 388.19 |
| imhere007 | Yes | 357.79 |
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