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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 369.68 | $0.026 | $9.61 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 49.58 |
| $0.028 |
| $1.39 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 250 | $0.720 | $180 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.220 | $100 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.051 | $2.55 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.687 | $13.74 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.024 | $7.09 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 149.26 | $0.281 | $41.99 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.056 | $3.92 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.160 | $64 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.227 | $5.68 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.016 | $6.6 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 910.48 | $0.082 | $75 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 175.15 | $0.143 | $25 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 191.4 | $0.157 | $30 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 93.1 | $0.161 | $15 | Feb 19, 2025 |