Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 234.74 | $0.373 | $205.4 | +$117.7 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.710 | $4.26 | Apr 26, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 71.5 |
| $0.830 |
| $67.57 |
| +$8.25 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 44.5 | $0.689 | $41.16 | +$10.49 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 30 | $0.880 | $25.65 | -$0.75 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 27 | $0.632 | $24.17 | +$7.1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 15 | $0.400 | $12.53 | +$6.53 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.615 | $9.37 | +$3.22 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 10 | $0.790 | $9.25 | +$1.35 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 9 | $0.760 | $8.55 | +$1.71 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 29 | $0.863 | $5.8 | -$19.22 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 84 | $0.660 | $5.75 | -$49.69 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 6 | $0.750 | $5.52 | +$1.02 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12 | $0.520 | $4.98 | -$1.26 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 67 | $0.561 | $4.36 | -$33.26 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 3.74 | $0.739 | $3.24 | +$0.47 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.885 | $2.6 | -$32.82 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | Yes | 9 | $0.160 | $0.54 | -$0.9 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.710 |
| $4.26 |
| Apr 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.710 | $4.26 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.320 | $2.56 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.320 | $2.56 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.320 | $2.56 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.320 | $0.88 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.954 | $19.08 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.954 | $19.08 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | buy | 14 | $0.640 | $8.96 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | buy | 14 | $0.640 | $8.96 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | buy | 14 | $0.640 | $8.96 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.760 | $6.84 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.170 | $5.61 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.170 | $5.61 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.170 | $5.61 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.420 | $2.52 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.420 | $2.52 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.420 | $2.52 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.480 | $6.24 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.480 | $6.24 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.480 | $6.24 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | sell | 13 | $0.850 | $11.05 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | sell | 13 | $0.850 | $11.05 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | sell | 13 | $0.850 | $11.05 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 13 | $0.740 | $9.62 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 13 | $0.740 | $9.62 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 13 | $0.740 | $9.62 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 13 | $0.750 | $9.75 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 13 | $0.750 | $9.75 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 13 | $0.750 | $9.75 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Apr 20, 2026 |