Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)Perez | sell | 20.83 | $0.520 | $10.82 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.150 |
| $0.75 |
| Oct 12, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz say "Obamacare", "ACA" or "Affordable Care Act" during the debate?No | buy | 15 | $0.340 | $5.1 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will Florida's abortion protection measure pass?No | sell | 25 | $0.420 | $10.5 | Sep 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Rug" or "Rugged" during the X space?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Suspect registered D or R?Republican | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Arizona rally?No | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Who is asked the first debate question?Trump | buy | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4Yes | buy | 100 | $0.046 | $4.6 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "McDonald's" at debate?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Who is asked the first debate question?Trump | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.098 | $4.9 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?Kamala | buy | 149 | $0.035 | $5.22 | Sep 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times at Wisconsin rally?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.300 | $12 | Sep 4, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 40 | $0.530 | $21.2 | Sep 2, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?No | buy | 100 | $0.047 | $4.7 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "alien" 5 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?No | buy | 12.56 | $0.043 | $0.54 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "alien" 5 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?No | buy | 140.79 | $0.142 | $20 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "alien" 5 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Pavel" or "Durov" during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.013 | $2 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Zuckerberg" or "Zuck" during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Solana above $145 on August 30?Yes | buy | 26.94 | $0.170 | $4.58 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Vivek replaces Vance as U.S. senator for Ohio?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.110 | $4.58 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+No | buy | 27.61 | $0.942 | $26.01 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump lead on August 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris solo interview before debate?Yes | buy | 45.74 | $0.437 | $20 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead by 1.5-1.9 August 30?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead by 2-2.4 August 30?Yes | buy | 10.83 | $0.462 | $5 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Alaska Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 51.02 | $0.098 | $5 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Nevada's abortion protection measure pass?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.039 | $2 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 123.83 | $0.040 | $5 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 33.56 | $0.149 | $5 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?Trump | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?No | buy | 27.43 | $0.729 | $20 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Solana above $145 on August 30?No | buy | 20.8 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Mass arrests at DNC?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.020 | $8 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Mass arrests at DNC?No | sell | 172.87 | $0.980 | $169.41 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump post "Crazy" on final night of DNC?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.840 | $4.58 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Mass arrests at DNC?No | buy | 125.25 | $0.798 | $100 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?Yes | sell | 155.21 | $0.081 | $12.62 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 US adds between 150k and 200k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| US adds between 100k and 150k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Aug 22, 2024 |