Analytics
Resolved Perez on 10 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Perez at 99.7%. The Perez side opened at 52% on 9 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 94 daily closes on record from 9 Aug 2024 to 10 Nov 2024, the highest close was 99.7% on 10 Nov 2024 and the lowest 39% on 2 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 72.5% on 7 Nov 2024. $283.28K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 11, 4:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Perez price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 9 Aug 2024 – 10 Nov 2024
| Observed | Perez price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2024 | 52.0% |
| 10 Nov 2024 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bold Kestrel 6D1D | Kent | 340 |
| basilroll | Kent | 100 |
| primes-376 | Kent | 33.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. This market will resolve to "Perez" if Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez wins the congressional election in Washington's 3rd district. This market will resolve to "Kent" if Republican John Kent wins the congressional election in Washington's 3rd district. If any other candidate wins the election, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wa-03-house-race-perez-d-vs-kent-r
| Kent |
| 25 |
| rtyu | Kent | 3.57 |
| rfcn | Kent | 3.57 |
| Vigorous-Paintwork | Perez | 2.17 |
| lkuuidfccfdujtyubgfhjh | Perez | 1.82 |
| VortexbLuFFsToNEfLickErINg | Kent | 1.06 |
| Pantagruel | Perez | 1 |
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