Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.400 |
| $2 |
| Sep 10, 2024 |
 US GDP declines in Q3 2024?No | sell | 5 | $0.937 | $4.69 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?No | sell | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Trump fires campaign manager?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.550 | $3.3 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.120 | $0.72 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.040 | $0.24 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.390 | $2.73 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.720 | $2.16 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 3 | $0.790 | $2.37 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 7 | $0.240 | $1.68 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.440 | $3.08 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.98 | $0.280 | $2.23 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.700 | $4.9 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.360 | $2.88 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.620 | $1.24 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.850 | $7.65 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris blowout victory?No | sell | 9 | $0.790 | $7.11 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.035 | $0.04 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| 2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?No | sell | 7 | $0.590 | $4.13 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?No | sell | 9 | $0.430 | $3.87 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will another movie gross most in 2024?No | sell | 1 | $0.920 | $0.92 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election?No | sell | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will the Washington Commanders win the NFC East?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.031 | $0.03 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will the Dallas Cowboys win the NFC East?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.380 | $4.18 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?No | sell | 2 | $0.430 | $0.86 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?No | sell | 7 | $0.740 | $5.18 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 2 | $0.700 | $1.4 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 14 | $0.550 | $7.7 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | sell | 17 | $0.460 | $7.82 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.454 | $8.17 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1 | $0.473 | $0.47 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.080 | $1.52 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.390 | $9.75 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.600 | $1.8 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Maduro out in 2024?No | sell | 6 | $0.860 | $5.16 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?No | sell | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?No | sell | 8 | $0.900 | $7.2 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?No | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q3 2024?No | sell | 14 | $0.940 | $13.16 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | buy | 1 | $0.530 | $0.53 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. say "Kamala" or "Harris" during Friday address?No | buy | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Aug 23, 2024 |