
Resolved Yes on 7 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 64.5% on 2 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2024 to 7 Nov 2024, the highest close was 99.9% on 7 Nov 2024 and the lowest 62.5% on 5 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 99.9% on 7 Nov 2024. $135.66K traded over the market's life.
107 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 8, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 2 Nov 2024 – 7 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2024 | 64.5% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-either-candidate-concede-in-november
| thumperco1012 | No | 27.03 |
| Flybaby | No | 15 |
| TRBlR | No | 10 |
| DogFoodLid | No | 5.56 |
| rcdc | No | 2.22 |
| introvertedintuition | No | 2.11 |
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