Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 96.9% on 16 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2024 to 23 Sep 2024, the highest close was 99.9% on 23 Sep 2024 and the lowest 96.9% on 16 Sep 2024. $86.11K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 24, 5:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 16 Sep 2024 – 23 Sep 2024, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2024 | 96.9% |
| 23 Sep 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kdchxue | No | 40 |
| sashagyrov | No | 1.72 |
| PRolify | Yes | 0.04 |
| Jacintorr | Yes | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed by the Secret Service and/or FBI that the incident on September 15, 2024 at his Florida golf course was intended as an attempt on Trump. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve once there have been statements confirming or denying whether it was an attempt on Trump. If there has been no definitive statement by September 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the Secret Secret and FBI believe was most likely.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fact-check-was-it-an-attempt-on-trump
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Expander | Yes | 0.01 |
| Parz1vaI | Yes | 0.01 |
