Analytics
Trading is closed with the Democrat side last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2024 to 17 Sep 2024, the highest close was 51.5% on 16 Sep 2024 and the lowest 51% on 17 Sep 2024.
$126.91K has traded since listing.
The largest Democrat position is Complex-Causeway with 571 shares; the largest Republican position is MisTKy3 with 0.
Polymarket record as of Sep 18, 11:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Democrat price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Sep 2024 – 17 Sep 2024, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Democrat price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2024 | 51.5% |
| 17 Sep 2024 | 51.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Complex-Causeway | Democrat | 570.96 |
| Gargantuan-Marten | Democrat | 9.43 |
| NikitaPobedit | Democrat | 0.06 |
| Chrissistar04 | Democrat | 0.04 |
| MisTKy3VerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Republican | 0.04 |
| zzVip16 | Republican | 0.02 |
| zzVip18 | Republican | 0.02 |
| zzVip20 | Republican | 0.02 |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Democrat | 0.02 |
| Hattsu | Republican | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On September 15, there was an incident in which a suspect was detained in connection to shots fired at Trump's golf course. This market will resolve to "Democrat" if the suspect's latest voter registration is Democrat. This market will resolve to "Republican" if the suspect's latest voter registration is Republican. If the suspect's latest voter registration is independent, or they are not registered to vote at all, this market will resolve to "50-50". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fact-check-suspect-registered-d-or-r
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