Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 172.41 |
| $0.290 |
| $50 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.300 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Coal" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.190 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 224.66 | $0.089 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 175.42 | $0.570 | $100 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 400 | $0.100 | $40 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.028 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.680 | $50 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by September meeting?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.022 | $25 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $4400 and $4500 on August 25?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.070 | $100 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high before October?No | buy | 3.14K | $0.510 | $1.6K | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $4000 August 11–17?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.031 | $50 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.234 | $300 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 August 11–17?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.465 | $500 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 August 11–17?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.490 | $500 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 675.1 | $0.444 | $300 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 456.38 | $0.876 | $400 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.086 | $100 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.048 | $50 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Remco Evenepoel win the Tour de France 2025?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.084 | $100 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will Jonas Vingegaard win the Tour de France 2025?Yes | buy | 364.61 | $0.274 | $100 | May 23, 2025 |
 All New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.053 | $100 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.21K | $0.091 | $200 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July?No | buy | 634.92 | $0.630 | $400 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 208.8 | $0.239 | $50 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 >100 redactions in Epstein files?No | buy | 536.73 | $0.373 | $200 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump list Los Zetas as a terrorist organization before April?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump list the Gulf Cartel as a terrorist organization before April?Yes | buy | 80.01 | $0.480 | $38.4 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump list MS-13 as a terrorist organization before April?Yes | buy | 23.6 | $0.860 | $20.3 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump list the Gulf Cartel as a terrorist organization before April?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?No | buy | 200 | $0.240 | $48 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Ross Ulbricht go on Joe Rogan before March?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.210 | $30 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 167.1 | $0.230 | $38.43 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 200 | $0.540 | $108 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.038 | $0.38 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.120 | $48 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Ohio State vs. OregonOregon | buy | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.044 | $13.2 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.043 | $8.6 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?No | buy | 132.12 | $0.640 | $84.56 | Dec 21, 2024 |