Will Trump list MS-13 as a terrorist organization before April?

Resolved

Yes, settled Feb 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$12.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Feb 20, 2025 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 20 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 91% on 25 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2025 to 20 Feb 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 20 Feb 2025 and the lowest 67.5% on 1 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 67.5% on 1 Feb 2025. $12.28K traded over the market's life.

3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 21, 2:00 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 25 Jan 2025 – 20 Feb 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Jan 2025	91.0%
20 Feb 2025	99.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
djdjdj	No	1.5K
antoshkavlasio	Yes	0.02
dolmil	Yes	0.01

3 of 3 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed the executive order "Designating Cartels and Other Organizations as Foreign Terrorist Organizations and Specially Designated Global Terrorists," directing the U.S. government to assess and potentially designate certain cartels under these classifications. (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/designating-cartels-and-other-organizations-as-foreign-terrorist-organizations-and-specially-designated-global-terrorists/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates the listed cartel as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT) by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be an official announcement from the U.S. State Department, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.