
Resolved Yes on 17 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 63% on 16 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2025 to 17 Sep 2025, the highest close was 98.4% on 17 Sep 2025 and the lowest 39.5% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 81.5% on 2 Aug 2025. $927.04K traded over the market's life.
180 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 12:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 16 Jul 2025 – 17 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2025 | 63.0% |
| 17 Sep 2025 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| monkeydegen | No | 60K |
| Chubby-Locality | No | 34.16K |
| 0xfd81 | No | 20K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the timing of the next Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-467
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 18.44K |
| blgm | No | 17.65K |
| user784512 | No | 13.72K |
| jackonly | No | 9.24K |
| ictua | No | 9.03K |
| primerotestpoli | No | 6K |
| biz | No | 5.61K |