Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 23 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 23% on 24 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Mar 2025. $54.11K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 11:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 23 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2025 | 21.5% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 4.69K |
| dstfnv1 | Yes | 500 |
| paparazzi33 | Yes | 487.33 |
| PeterEnis | Yes | 368.2 |
| Worthwhile-Persimmon | Yes | 162 |
| bushwick121 | Yes | 151.47 |
| CantBelieveItsNotBetter | Yes | 130.43 |
| TravisTravisTravis | Yes | 82.34 |
| Hospitable-Inspector | Yes | 53.93 |
| teet | Yes | 31.25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On January 21, Ross Ulbricht (a.k.a. Dread Pirate Roberts) received a pardon from Donald Trump, prompting @AutismCapital to tweet "Absolutely freaking STOKED for the inevitable Ross Ulbricht Joe Rogan podcast." You can see that tweet here: https://x.com/AutismCapital/status/1881855487337218072 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ross Ulbricht is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between January 21 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Ulbricht recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ross-ulbricht-go-on-joe-rogan-before-march
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