Latest trade
Jan 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:47 AM UTC.
Analytics
fcruz is down $6.44 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:47 AM UTC.
$4.49 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Jun 22, 2025 UTC to Jan 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.840 | $4.48 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-01 13:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 11:47 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 11:47 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-01 13:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $7.46 and losing ones cost $14.28 across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.41 on “No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?” (No); the largest loss, $7.65 on “Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Jan 2026. It has traded 98 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1.25 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.25 |
| Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Meek Mill releases AI app in 2025?No | buy | 2.85 | $0.999 | $2.85 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.36 | $0.990 | $4.32 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.470 | $0.61 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
 North Korea missile launch by November 30?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.930 | $3.16 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.950 | $1.23 | Oct 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.996 | $1.36 | Oct 16, 2025 UTC |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?No | buy | 3.5 | $0.980 | $3.43 | Oct 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | Oct 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?No | buy | 3.79 | $0.999 | $3.79 | Oct 6, 2025 UTC |
 Jimmy Kimmel cancelled by September 30?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.992 | $4.03 | Sep 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?Yes | sell | 8.01 | $0.997 | $7.99 | Sep 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 10.84 | $0.962 | $10.43 | Sep 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?Yes | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Sep 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.85 | $0.958 | $10.39 | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?No | buy | 5.73 | $0.998 | $5.72 | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Yes | buy | 13.1 | $0.999 | $13.09 | Aug 26, 2025 UTC |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?No | buy | 17.17 | $0.998 | $17.14 | Aug 22, 2025 UTC |
 Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?Yes | buy | 14.27 | $0.993 | $14.17 | Aug 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No | buy | 11.26 | $0.999 | $11.25 | Aug 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 12.24 | $0.995 | $12.18 | Aug 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.975 | $13.36 | Aug 6, 2025 UTC |
 US strikes Yemen before August?No | buy | 2.55 | $0.999 | $2.55 | Aug 1, 2025 UTC |
 2025 July hottest on record?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.994 | $1.64 | Aug 1, 2025 UTC |
| 2025 July hottest on record?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.995 | $1.66 | Aug 1, 2025 UTC |
 Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case by July 31?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.998 | $1.88 | Aug 1, 2025 UTC |
 Harvard international students ban ended before August?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.995 | $2.81 | Aug 1, 2025 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | buy | 2.15 | $0.997 | $2.14 | Jul 31, 2025 UTC |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | buy | 2.96 | $0.998 | $2.95 | Jul 31, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 16.44 | $0.999 | $16.42 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Yes | buy | 12.91 | $0.999 | $12.9 | Jul 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 14.67 | $0.998 | $14.64 | Jul 19, 2025 UTC |
 U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.999 | $1.42 | Jul 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 14.67 | $0.999 | $14.66 | Jul 17, 2025 UTC |
 Pump.fun market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.991 | $4.51 | Jul 15, 2025 UTC |
| Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 12.51 | $0.930 | $11.63 | Jul 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.985 | $4.28 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.29 | $0.999 | $10.28 | Jul 12, 2025 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 16.82 | $0.996 | $16.75 | Jul 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Yes | buy | 21.86 | $0.350 | $7.65 | Jul 6, 2025 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.996 | $9.13 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 7.66 | $0.996 | $7.63 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.992 | $5.22 | Jun 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.995 | $1.91 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel invade Iran before July?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.996 | $1.58 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.989 | $1.89 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 3.36 | $0.992 | $3.33 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.995 | $2.07 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.989 | $5.96 | Jun 22, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 3m ago. Watch only — not advice.