Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 17% on 10 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 29.5% on 13 Jul 2025 and the low 2.5% on 15 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 2.5% on 15 Jul 2025. $101.06K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 10 Jul 2025 – 15 Jul 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | 17.0% |
| 15 Jul 2025 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 36.01K |
| hajii | Yes | 15K |
| Thin-Membrane | Yes | 7K |
| horiz0n | Yes | 4.68K |
| Nicholas01 | No | 1.16K |
| Doctordoctor | Yes | 1.08K |
| mgmtv | Yes | 1K |
| Jade Vector 7E9D | Yes | 943.31 |
| TMW-357 | Yes | 668.3 |
| c4talyst | Yes | 484.83 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pump.fun's token is $8,000,000,000 or more 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pump.fun doesn't launch a token by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pumpfun-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
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