Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 38% on 8 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 46% on 9 Nov 2025 and the low 0.7% on 30 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 30.5% on 10 Nov 2025. $71.28K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 38.0% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| funding | Yes | 5K |
| donkman | Yes | 2.56K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 548.02 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 176 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-launch-by-november-30
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 170 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 161 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 161 |
| shadowhoss | Yes | 150 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| BerlinBunkerBoy | No | 141.9 |
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