Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 11.1 | $0.920 | $10.68 | +$0.47 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.16 |
| $0.865 |
| $1 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 11.1 | $0.920 | $10.21 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be less than 18,000,000?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.984 | $1.77 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.864 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 8.17 | $0.950 | $7.76 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.922 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
Will the Senate confirm Ed Martin before July?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | May 17, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?Simion | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.840 | $1.2 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 11–18?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.859 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced before May?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.966 | $1.3 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will 'Mickey 17' gross less than 16m on its opening weekend?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will egg prices be less than $5.00 in March?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before April?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.963 | $1.1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.940 | $1.1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.750 | $1.1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.920 | $1.2 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Avail airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will Dittman tweet between 110 and 119 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | sell | 10.57 | $0.020 | $0.21 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.954 | $1.2 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.990 | $1.1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.993 | $1.1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.961 | $1.3 | Jan 7, 2025 |
TikTok banned in 2025?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.960 | $1.2 | Jan 5, 2025 |