Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 22 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 24.5% on 22 Jul 2025 and the low 0.1% on 31 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 4.5% on 24 Jul 2025. $431.98K traded over the market's life.
155 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 7:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 103 points, 22 Jul 2025 – 1 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2025 | 24.5% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.3K |
| zsab47 | Yes | 1K |
| blast87 | Yes | 925.11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on predicting the launch date of Tesla's unsupervised full self-driving (FSD) technology.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tesla-launches-unsupervised-full-self-driving-fsd-by
| Yes |
| 500 |
| Monmo | Yes | 500 |
| No4000ET | Yes | 436.34 |
| JVxdrCsOhR | Yes | 272.02 |
| peohenriksson | Yes | 271 |
| Spherical-Snarl | Yes | 233.42 |
| AKHersh | No | 200 |
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