Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 1 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 22% on 2 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 12% on 11 Mar 2025. $553.85K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 1 Mar 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | 20.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| D.Luffy007 | Yes | 9.36K |
| collectorr | Yes | 5.94K |
| Nicola-103 | Yes | 1K |
| tonyjaviers | Yes | 982.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated holds 550,000 or more bitcoins at any point by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-hold-550k-btc-before-april
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Quaint-Bachelor | Yes | 891.44 |
| thebitsmith | Yes | 830.13 |
| Megatron747 | Yes | 817.58 |
| KimbalMusk | Yes | 721.2 |
| azadam | Yes | 577.25 |
| trillest | Yes | 534.07 |
