Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

Resolved

Simion, settled May 23, 2025 UTC

Dan

0.0%

Simion

100.0%

Final Dan 0¢Final Simion 100¢

Lifetime volume

$6.9M

Resolved

Simion

Settled

May 23, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Simion on 23 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Simion at 99.9%. The Dan side opened at 6.8% on 13 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 13 May 2025 to 23 May 2025, the highest close was 18.6% on 17 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 0.4% on 19 May 2025. $6.95M traded over the market's life.

259 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 24, 12:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Dan price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 13 May 2025 – 23 May 2025, chart shows 0%–25%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Cicadas	Dan	194.4K
0x3n	Dan	48.94K
andrmih33	Dan	44.44K
typonex6	Dan	44.4K

10 of 259 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2025 Romanian presidential election runoff will be held on May 18 to determine the next President of Romania. This market will resolve to "Dan" if Nicușor Dan receives more total votes than George Simion from voters abroad (diaspora) in the second round of the 2025 Romanian presidential election. This market will resolve to "Simion" if George Simion receives more total diaspora votes than Nicușor Dan. Only votes cast outside Romania (i.e., from polling stations abroad) as reported by the Permanent Electoral Authority (Autoritatea Electorală Permanentă, AEP) and the Central Electoral Bureau (Biroul Electoral Central, BEC) will be counted for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the Validated Results of the election, including the diaspora breakdown, as published shortly after the election (see: https://prezenta.roaep.ro/). If the diaspora results are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until official vote totals from abroad are validated and released by the Constitutional Court.