Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 17 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 114 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2025 to 8 Jul 2025, the highest close was 13% on 19 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.7 points up, to 8% on 7 May 2025. $224.51K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 9, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 114 points, 17 Mar 2025 – 8 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2025 | 11.5% |
| 8 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| freelunch628 | Yes | 36K |
| Feman6996 | Yes | 20.38K |
| BowlOfPunch | Yes | 16.59K |
Prior to the disruptions caused by the Houthi attacks in late 2023, the Suez Canal experienced an average daily transit of approximately 72 vessels. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between March 8, and June 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000). If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by July 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution source: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-suez-canal-traffic-recover-to-pre-houthi-levels-before-july
| Yes |
| 5.03K |
| 6615 | Yes | 2K |
| jjyou | Yes | 658.3 |
| busedibi | Yes | 261.35 |
| Hennas29 | Yes | 250 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 186.35 |
| dingxingtai | Yes | 122.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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