Analytics
| Market | Status | Yes | 24h vol | Liquidity | Close | Updated | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?technology | Ended | Aug 14, 2026 | Aug 3, 2026 | Awaiting resolution | |||
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?technology |
| Active |
| Dec 31, 2026 |
| Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?politics | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?politics | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?politics | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?politics | Active | Sep 30, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?politics | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?technology | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 8, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?politics | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?politics | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?politics | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?politics | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 7, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?politics | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?politics | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?politics | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 8, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?politics | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 7, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?politics | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?politics | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?politics | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?politics | Active | Sep 30, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?politics | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?technology | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 7, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?politics | Active | Sep 30, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1510 by December 31?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?politics | Active | Sep 30, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?technology | Active | Sep 30, 2026 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?politics | Active | Sep 30, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?politics | Active | Sep 30, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?politics | Active | Sep 30, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?politics | Active | Sep 30, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?politics | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?politics | Active | Sep 30, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?politics | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?politics | Ended | Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 7, 2026 | Awaiting resolution |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?technology | Active | Dec 31, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?politics | Active | Sep 30, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?politics | Active | Sep 30, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 |