Analytics
| Market | Status | Yes | 24h vol | Liquidity | Close | Catalog observed | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?weather / climate-science | Active | 29.5% | $39.51K | $3.93K | Jan 1, 2027 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Active |
| 45.9% |
| $25.23K |
| $17.34K |
| Dec 31, 2026 |
| 34m ago |
Inspect details |
 Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?weather-science / science | Active | 0.1% | $3.7K | $65.53K | Dec 31, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
 New pandemic in 2026?pandemics / climate-science | Active | 6.5% | $2.62K | $30.7K | Jan 1, 2027 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
 Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?weather / climate | Active | 26.0% | $1.98K | $1.58K | Jan 1, 2027 | 33m ago | Inspect details |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?weather / climate | Active | 1.9% | $1.74K | $5.62K | Oct 1, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?weather / climate | Active | 66.5% | $1.73K | $2.45K | Jan 1, 2027 | 33m ago | Inspect details |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?climate-science / ipo | Active | 1.0% | $1.21K | $64.47K | Dec 31, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | $1.14K | $2.44K | Sep 14, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?climate-science / ipo | Active | 54.0% | $1.05K | $22.04K | Dec 31, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?weather / climate | Active | 1.5% | $1.02K | $2.13K | Oct 1, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | 3.0% | $995.22 | $2.29K | Sep 14, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
 Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026?weather / climate | Active | 37.5% | $991.67 | $361.05 | Sep 21, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
 Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?europe / drought | Active | 18.8% | $975.91 | $929.75 | Nov 1, 2026 | 33m ago | Inspect details |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?weather-science / science | Active | 77.0% | $963.11 | $11.89K | Dec 31, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?europe / drought | Active | 40.5% | $876.04 | $427.64 | Sep 30, 2026 | 33m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | $671.04 | $1.11K | Sep 14, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?weather-science / science | Active | 21.5% | $653.4 | $5.36K | Dec 31, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | 95.0% | $627.57 | $334.59 | Sep 14, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?weather / climate | Active | 45.0% | $532.21 | $1.12K | Dec 1, 2026 | 33m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?europe / drought | Active | 0.7% | $519.83 | $1.3K | Sep 15, 2026 | 33m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | 30.5% | $457.23 | $1.02K | Sep 21, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?climate-science / spacex | Active | 10.5% | $404.58 | $4.86K | Jan 1, 2027 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?europe / drought | Active | 41.5% | $387.35 | $490.28 | Oct 31, 2026 | 33m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | 14.5% | $374.43 | $1.44K | Sep 21, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?europe / drought | Active | 21.5% | $354.55 | $3.2K | Sep 30, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?weather / climate | Active | 5.0% | $319.32 | $1.34K | Jan 1, 2027 | 33m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | 96.3% | $299.63 | $1.12K | Sep 14, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?rewards-20-4pt5-50 / climate-science | Active | 97.2% | $299 | $2.18K | Jan 1, 2027 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?weather / climate | Active | 30.5% | $297.45 | $558.8 | Oct 1, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | $272.95 | $2.53K | Sep 14, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
 Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?weather / climate | Active | 93.8% | $270 | $2.43K | Apr 1, 2027 | 33m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?weather / climate | Active | 1.6% | $268.93 | $1.58K | Jan 1, 2027 | 33m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | $243.16 | $2.15K | Sep 14, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | $234.95 | $905.84 | Sep 14, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
 Human moon landing in 2026?tech / pop-culture | Active | 2.0% | $218.38 | $21.62K | Jan 1, 2027 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?weather-science / science | Active | 0.3% | $210 | $55.62K | Dec 31, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?weather-science / science | Active | 1.3% | $210 | $46.45K | Dec 31, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?weather / climate | Active | 0.9% | $188.22 | $1.78K | Oct 1, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | $178.07 | $2.43K | Sep 14, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?weather / climate | Active | 32.0% | $167.19 | $1.42K | Apr 1, 2027 | 31m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?weather / climate | Active | 4.5% | $160.68 | $1.12K | Oct 1, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?weather / climate | Active | 92.0% | $156.59 | $519.89 | Oct 1, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | 43.5% | $145.16 | $1.14K | Sep 21, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?spacex / space | Active | 46.0% | $136.19 | $1.27K | Jan 1, 2027 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?weather / climate | Active | 63.5% | $135.9 | $1.93K | Apr 1, 2027 | 31m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?weather / climate | Active | 1.4% | $130.02 | $1.29K | Oct 1, 2026 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
| Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?weather / climate | Active | $111.15 | $941.51 | Sep 14, 2026 | 30m ago | Inspect details |
| Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?weather / climate | Active | 9.5% | $108.92 | $563.11 | Oct 4, 2026 | 32m ago | Inspect details |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?spacex / space | Active | 34.5% | $107.29 | $904.76 | Jan 1, 2027 | 34m ago | Inspect details |
