Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 36 points from 36.5% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 85 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46% on 7 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.4%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 29.5% on 20 Aug 2026.
7+ ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?”. 1-3 leads at 96.2%; 4-6 is at 3.4%.
$200 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.19K since listing. The order book holds $2.66K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 205 trades, $25.23 bought Yes and $2.84K bought No.
The largest Yes position is rabbit007 with 2.9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 8.1K. Ten wallets hold 83.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 32 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 85 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 36.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.13K |
| rabbit007 | Yes | 2.85K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 566.26 |
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-hurricanes-will-form-during-the-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-2026-20260728201848339
| donthackme | Yes | 513.97 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 367.61 |
| Swift Summit CA1B | Yes | 361.83 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 255 |
| vlospa | Yes | 245 |
| haouibao | Yes | 240 |
| tryrktry | Yes | 195 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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